Hmmm... so, AOL paid $850 M for 3.5 million visits a month. That means that they're paying about $250 a user.
At the same valuation per user, that values Facebook at a paltry $ 7 billion.
Another thought... if users are worth $250 a piece, maybe my blog that has 100 readers a month might actually be worth $25,000! Anyone wanna buy it? :)
Yahoo purchased GeoCities for US$1100 per user. Microsoft purchased a stake of Facebook for US$300 per user. So, AOL buying Bebo for US$250 per user is a relative bargain.
Regarding your blog, its only worth US$25000 if you can sell it. Otherwise it is worth nothing.
On a more serious note, the average facebook user spends more time on facebook (and views more pages, ads, etc) than the average reader spends on your blog.
i've tried reading up on "engagement advertising", but i continue not to understand it. it seems like a fairly empty buzzword for saying that the ads will be micro-targeted (maybe via social networking information you've revealed, like facebook's attempts?), which, to my knowledge, is a concept that hasn't seen much success yet.
Engagement advertisement is an idea that I think successfully addresses the problem of click fraud. Instead of just measuring clicks or impressions, they would base the results on a desired user experience. Hard to do and track also, imho.
Yeah, apparently, according to wikipedia, Time Warner is thinking about splitting 'AOL internet access and adversting businesses into two, with the possibility of later selling the internet access division.'
So they haven't done it yet.
A good look at their internal dysfunction and struggles over "Platform A" was published yesterday in the NY Times:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/12/technology/12aol.html