He is just making a moment-in-time assessment of how he feels about current state of LLM coding. I don't think it's a super-strongly held opinion, I'm sure he would be willing to change his opinion if the next two years of LLM development produce exponentially better results.
> I’m calling it now, the adoption of AI agents into software development will be one of the most costly mistakes in the field’s history
> Agents _will_ end up hurting large organizations more than high performing individuals or small orgs
> Do you think macOS will get better or worse in the next 2 years?
> I don’t think models like this will _ever_ be able to program, I think the process matters.
From this quote especially how can you say he only thinks about the "current" state of LLM coding?
You are wrong. I don't think this is a point in time assessment. I don't think it is not supper strongly held. I do think he will change his mind though.
This is effectively what's happening to software. We are getting some forms of automation but I believe there's plenty of manual work and coordination left for humans to do.
This is how Congress works, for better or worse. Bills get proposed all the time by any one of its five hundred or so members, it doesn't mean either one will pass. That's democracy.
Thats nice but that doesnt work for vast majority of the United States. Cars are here to stay. People live in the suburbs you aren't going to mass migrate hundreds of millions of people.
I guess, you know nowadays it seems like if an enemy scratches one of our ships it is called a total loss for the U.S. meanwhile other nations have their entire air force taken out along with all of their targeting systems and most of their missile supplies and even their heads of state are taken out by F35s or arrested by special forces and somehow that is called "losing" by armchair internet dwellers.
Iran has been funding terrorists for decades and the IRGC has murdered tens of thousands of Iranians. There are no reparations for terrorists getting their comeuppance.
Oh boy, equivocating the U.S. military to the IRGC, which murdered tens of thousands of Iranian protestors just 4 months ago, which jails and murders women for failing to wear a hijab or burka or protesting in public, the IRGC which fired missiles at 8 different countries in the middle east less than 2 months ago, is the highest form of privilege coming from people largely shielded by the US military from inevitable global war in its absence.
Americans don't care what the rest of the world says. It's a privilege that comes from a position of power. In any case, the Iranian people themselves have protested their own regime many times, so no one needs to listen to the US position on this. Just listen to the Iranian people.
We agree with them. Their regime needs to go.
In the US, we will be rid of the current administration in less than 3 years and MAGA will end with it. If the Iranian people had the same choice American citizens do, they would have voted their regime out and current events would be very different.
Especially when you look at Iran-Contra, where the US cut out the middleman and supplied arms directly to Iran and supported terrorists at the same time!
Americans understand. We're allowed to fund terrorists, Iran isnt. Its not even a bad take if your goal is just domestic happiness. Iran funds terrorists that are opposed to American interests, it's the opposed to american interests part that is unacceptable.
The problem with this attitude is that no-one other than jingoistic Americans will want to support your country if you behave like that. There’s no difference between you and Russia then.
I don’t think this is true. You just need to work with countries whose values and incentives align with your own. Luckily American values line up very nicely with most western countries.
I do agree that ignoring the suffering you cause other people is pretty immoral, I just think most people tend to be kind of ok with that, especially in out of sight out of mind situations. Most people don’t mind if their enemies suffer, its just a balancing act of making sure that mostly it’s your enemies that you make suffer.
Not really any different than eating meat, another immoral act that almost everyone does anyway.
> Luckily American values line up very nicely with most western countries.
You're living in the past. There's a reason that European countries are rushing to increase their technology independence from the US.
The countries whose "values and incentives" align with the current US administration are countries like Russia, China, and a number of countries in the Middle East. Orban's Hungary was another but that's behind us now.
Yes, the U.S. is very concerned that the E.U. is pivoting to LibreOffice. There is an ongoing war in Ukraine right now as there has been for 4 years. Will the E.U. deploy forces there to save Ukraine from Russia? Or will it instead resort to virtue signalling against the U.S. because they were asked to pay more for their defense or lose free access to American markets?
That reason is Trump, an unpredictable leader who is backing away from traditional western values. European countries had no issue backing the US up in Iraq and Afghanistan(until our folly was abundantly clear at least). If the future of the US is trump style leadership you’re right, if the future is a return to pre Trump then I don’t think the US will have any issue working with western countries.
Replace Iran and IRGC with Israel and IDF and you have a winner - one that is actually in possession of undeclared nuclear arms and refuses to cooperate with the IAEA.
It's the US that has been funding Zionist terrorists for decades. It's wild how the generational divide between those who have been subjected to a lifetime of Zionist propaganda vs those of us who have had access to the truth is completely irreconcilable.
It is like the go to explanation for things they don't have an answer to. What if the quartz arrow head was just a status symbol or was traded as a luxury item?
He is just making a moment-in-time assessment of how he feels about current state of LLM coding. I don't think it's a super-strongly held opinion, I'm sure he would be willing to change his opinion if the next two years of LLM development produce exponentially better results.
reply