What is a bet that most charitably represents what the author would make? If there’s no such bet then it’s just whining. If there is then I’d like to know.
He is just making a moment-in-time assessment of how he feels about current state of LLM coding. I don't think it's a super-strongly held opinion, I'm sure he would be willing to change his opinion if the next two years of LLM development produce exponentially better results.
> I’m calling it now, the adoption of AI agents into software development will be one of the most costly mistakes in the field’s history
> Agents _will_ end up hurting large organizations more than high performing individuals or small orgs
> Do you think macOS will get better or worse in the next 2 years?
> I don’t think models like this will _ever_ be able to program, I think the process matters.
From this quote especially how can you say he only thinks about the "current" state of LLM coding?
You are wrong. I don't think this is a point in time assessment. I don't think it is not supper strongly held. I do think he will change his mind though.
