But the things they say they believe are insane and totally unmoored from physical, societal, and economic reality. If they actually believe those things they're untrustworthy because they're delusional. If they don't, they're untrustworthy because they're fraudulent. Either way it's not good..
They're not. They're in the eye of the storm and see what's going on the clearest. They were ahead of the curve to be where they're at now, and they're still ahead of the curve for where we're going. All the other heads of labs like Sam Altman and Demis have been saying the same thing since 2015-2016 way before any of this "marketing" would ever have been at play.
There's a simpler explanation that fits the data better: they're lying.
Generally, in the past when tech companies have made outlandish claims that were not backed by evidence, they're later found out to have lied. This is an ancient pattern going back to the dotcom era and before, but for recent examples you need only look back a few years to the web3 era. If they're not lying, they can show it by producing the results they claim. Until then, they're probably just lying.
Lol, I can name 3 specific jobs within my own company (of <10 people) that AI prevents me from having to hire for. They've been automated away.
My company itself (possible only with AI) does the work of at least several dozen people across my hundred customers or so. Those jobs are now automated away.
Does that mean you're lying, or just overly confident (and wrong) in your speculations?
FWIW, I wouldn't put Sam Altman in the category of "earnest." I'm not sure if you just aren't aware that Anthropic and OpenAI are different companies, or if you're arguing dishonestly by trying to put sama quotes in here? But weird move in either case!
In most ways it doesn't matter, but if you're accusing someone of lying and then your evidence of that is something that someone else said, then that's lazy (at best).
I'm not sure there's anything "to get." But given your level of curiosity it's not surprising.
Web3 was absolute horseshit (and always was), so if you're blending AI with that based on the similarly grandiose claims and the extremely annoying boosterism, I think you should try hitting reset and engaging with LLMs from a cleaner slate.
