Question to your question: How many will actually get a job?

When the system fails to reward compliance, that begrudging conformity will eventually curdle into systemic disruption.

History has proven so time & time again.

Lock a massive class of highly educated, financially desperate young people out of the economy.. they won't just starve in silence. They organize unions, radicalize politics, and ultimately rewrite the rules of the game.

Expectation: In 10 years, killer drones will corral us away from quarantine zones to forcibly infect millions of hapless civilians. The proletariat will revolt and wage civil war against the state, sending millions of shock troops to fight for representation in government or dismantle the governing body itself. They will die peacefully, knowing they were right.

Reality: People will scroll TikTok for another decade and contract sedentary lifestyle diseases that they blame on others instead of themselves. Constant influence campaigns and surveillance will keep them divided and give them new scapegoats to assuage their mounting insecurity and shame for their generation. They will die outraged, knowing they were wrong.

False dichotomy. Why not both, depending on the individual and their circumstances?

We have 10 years of health crises, violent protests and populist contempt for the American government to cross-reference.

Yes, but to your previous point, the propaganda system is well tuned enough to pit the blue half of that populist contempt against the red half, even though you and I both know it's orchestrated by the uniparty. The only thing that comes to mind recently that bridges the gap is the Epstein stuff, but people are easily distracted with aforementioned propaganda and mindless scrolling.