Factually, it does seem like the parent is probably wrong. I'm not a statistics genius and don't know where to find the best data, but it looks like your chances of being killed by a vehicle as a pedestrian in suburbs is somewhere just south of 2.3 per 100k annually (in 2022).
Your chances of being subject to violence in NYC are harder to say. When most people are making a comparison like this, they usually mean as a visitor, on the streets and in the businesses, probably including day and night. But e.g. probably not including territorial crime or other flavors of locals picking fights with their neighbors. And also not including crimes that occur in residences. But maybe including terrorizing, e.g. being robbed under implied threat of violence? It also varies a lot by borough and neighborhood, so it depends on whether you want to represent a scenario where you might be anywhere in NYC, or just the places a normal person might reasonably be.
All that said, the violent crime numbers are high enough that it seems like they couldn't possibly get qualified all the way down to less than 2.3 per 100k annually. But that intuition could be wrong.
Sometimes I think it's the only way to make people really think about the apparently ridiculous things they say. It's not personal.
>Your chances of being subject to violence in NYC are harder to say.
Not that much harder, I would say. If you want to make a serious comparison, that is... Here's a list of per 100k rates for various crimes: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_b... All of those crimes are WAY higher than 2.3 per 100k annually. Anyone visiting NYC is probably at much more risk because they will be more likely to go places and do things that are unsafe, and the locals can spot them from a mile away.
>All that said, the violent crime numbers are high enough that it seems like they couldn't possibly get qualified all the way down to less than 2.3 per 100k annually. But that intuition could be wrong.
I agree. Now you know why I consider the original comment absurd. There are also some people who are so anti-car that they want to make arguments like that, seriously. I assumed (perhaps incorrectly) that you are one of those. If you just made a bad guess and aren't arguing that NYC is safe or that cars are wildly unsafe, then I think we're in agreement now.
Factually, it does seem like the parent is probably wrong. I'm not a statistics genius and don't know where to find the best data, but it looks like your chances of being killed by a vehicle as a pedestrian in suburbs is somewhere just south of 2.3 per 100k annually (in 2022).
Your chances of being subject to violence in NYC are harder to say. When most people are making a comparison like this, they usually mean as a visitor, on the streets and in the businesses, probably including day and night. But e.g. probably not including territorial crime or other flavors of locals picking fights with their neighbors. And also not including crimes that occur in residences. But maybe including terrorizing, e.g. being robbed under implied threat of violence? It also varies a lot by borough and neighborhood, so it depends on whether you want to represent a scenario where you might be anywhere in NYC, or just the places a normal person might reasonably be.
All that said, the violent crime numbers are high enough that it seems like they couldn't possibly get qualified all the way down to less than 2.3 per 100k annually. But that intuition could be wrong.