>firstly, the climate permits it. i assume now that any company holds a latent 10% rif in good times, just waiting for a bad market so it can lose the 10% to throw the market a bone
With you so far. Although they'd have done better to perhaps cut that fluff earlier on, I guess there were appearances of stability to be kept up.
> secondly, consumer/business software and the web are exiting the innovation phase and entering the cost phase.
Wait, really? Software companies have been exiting the innovative phase and entering the cost phase all along. That companies are doing this now does not indicate to me that there is no more innovating to be done. All that this implies is that it is less likely to be these companies doing that innovating.
> between moore's law making any idiot a passable coder, oodles of great free and open code, and winner-take-all economics, my opinion is that coding won't be a desirable job within a decade
Sorry if I'm wrong, but this seems more than a bit trollish. There is more to passable code than just raw performance. And all that free code just means that we don't have to solve those problems again, leaving the door open to solve different, and probably more difficult, problems. To say that coding won't be a desirable job within a decade is to imply there are really only a handful more problems to be solved before we are all done, or have only problems that can't be solved with the help of computers. This claim seems bogus.
With you so far. Although they'd have done better to perhaps cut that fluff earlier on, I guess there were appearances of stability to be kept up.
> secondly, consumer/business software and the web are exiting the innovation phase and entering the cost phase.
Wait, really? Software companies have been exiting the innovative phase and entering the cost phase all along. That companies are doing this now does not indicate to me that there is no more innovating to be done. All that this implies is that it is less likely to be these companies doing that innovating.
> between moore's law making any idiot a passable coder, oodles of great free and open code, and winner-take-all economics, my opinion is that coding won't be a desirable job within a decade
Sorry if I'm wrong, but this seems more than a bit trollish. There is more to passable code than just raw performance. And all that free code just means that we don't have to solve those problems again, leaving the door open to solve different, and probably more difficult, problems. To say that coding won't be a desirable job within a decade is to imply there are really only a handful more problems to be solved before we are all done, or have only problems that can't be solved with the help of computers. This claim seems bogus.