A lot of startups are selling the dream/hype of not ever having to learn to code. Be aware that it’s hype. Learn to code if you want to build stuff. They will be tools for those that have the knowledge needed to effectively use them.
Reminds me of the no-code / low-code hype around 2020, tons of startups advertising app-builders that used little, if any, AI. Just blocks that you dragged-and-dropped. While many of them were successful, it seems like overall they didn't really make much of a dent in industry, which I found very curious.
Like, by now you'd think it would be inevitable that we wouldn't be writing software in a text-editor or IDE. Everything else we do on a computer is more graphical rather than textual, with the exception of software development. Why is that?
Part of the reason why I'm kind of bearish on AI is because it seems like we could have replaced written code with GUI diagrams as far back as the 80s, or at the very least in the early 2000s, and it seems like something that should have obviously caught on given that would probably be much easier for the average person. Again though, curiously, we're still using text editors. Perhaps despite the popularization of AI no-code builders we'll still see that the old model of hiring someone good at writing code in a text-editor remains largely unchanged.
Makes me wonder if there's just something about the process that we overlook, and if this same something could frustrate attempts at automating the process of writing code using AIs as much as it frustrated our attempts at capturing code using graphical symbols.
I think you're underestimating the amount of things built with nocode.
I don't think most people are building landing pages anymore by handwriting code anymore. Same with blogs (eg. Wordpress). There are MVPs of successful businesses that've been built by Bubble.io. Internal dashboards and such can definitely be built without code such as via Retool or Looker or whatever.
WYSIWYG obviously makes sense for frontend, but less so for backend. For backend code I don't really see how some visual drag and drop editor could make for a better interface than code. And even if it could, the advantage of code is that it's fully customizable (whereas with a GUI you're limited by the GUI), and text itself as a medium is uniform and portable (eg. easy to copy and paste anywhere).
Not to say that we can't create better interfaces than text, but I do think some sort of augmentation on top of a code editor is probably a more realistic short-term evolution, similar to VSCode plugins.
I’m actually really amazed by LLMs and think the world is going to change dramatically as a result.
But the “you won’t need to code” reminds me “you won’t need to learn to drive”.
It’s the messy interface with the real world in both cases that basically requires AGI.
If AGI is just a decade off then, yep, I won’t need to code. But a decade is a long time and, more importantly, we’re probably more than a decade away.
And even if it is “just round the corner”, worrying about not needing to code would be worrying about deckchairs on the titanic. AGI will probably mean the end of capitalism as we know it, so all bets are off at that point.
It’s wise to hedge a little but also realise that to date AI is just a coding productivity boost. The size of the boost depends on how trivial the code is. Most of the code I write isn’t trivial and AI is fairly useless at that, certainly it’s faster and more accurate to write it myself. You can get a 50% boost if you’re writing boiler plate all day, but then you have to wonder why you’re doing that in the first place.
+1 for the titanic analogy. If there ever comes a point that we no longer need to learn to code, I’m taking that as a sign that I’m literally living in a matrix-esque simulation.
The point at which someone like myself is allowed to become aware that a company has developed that level of AI is well beyond the point of no return.
