Since most people are going with Iran's side of the story being correct, I'll be the counter voice. It is far more likely that the plane did malfunction and it landed on its own and Iran picked it up. I'm not saying it is impossible for them to hack the communications channel, but is extremely unlikely. Pretend for a second that the military was using something even marginally dumb (which they aren't), the minimum requirement for Iran to take control would be:
* Intercept the control signal
* Decrypt it somehow (in a short period of time)
* Jam (from the ground) the US signal going to the plane, while not jamming themselves (equally unlikely)
* Give the proper C&C commands to the plane to land
Or the more likely scenario of the plane malfunctioned (it is a test plane being used in production) and landed itself.
My biggest concern would be if the self-destructs onboard fired as they were supposed to.
I think you're potentially overestimating how competently the military protects these drones. Video from drones over Iraq were intercepted by insurgents using a $26 piece of software:
Having worked on drones, I'm not speaking out of turn on them. I didn't work on this particular program (in that case I wouldn't have posted b/c that would be most likely illegal), but similar programs.
considering Iran's hacking of Diginotar certificate as a precedent, i don't think it is unimaginable.
Similar possibility without actual hacking of C&C channel encryption is that the drone (or its windows command machines in Nevada) is just plain infected with a drone virus (like it was recently reported) which has a code "if (it is a steath drone flying over Iran) then (land)"
Oh, I agree completely that it's possible. I was just disagreeing with the assertion that getting an unencrypted video feed implies that it might be easy.
I can imagine a number of potential scenarios for bringing down an aircraft like this, ranging from full control takeover to interruption of communication until fuel exhaustion and partial crash.
Or perhaps we've bugged it and let them have it. Think we might want to know where they'd take something like this?
Sigh, again, modern news gone bad. Computers in the same base and area as the control computers had a virus, but it could not affect the software used to control the planes.
>Sigh, again, modern news gone bad. Computers in the same base and area as the control computers had a virus, but it could not affect the software used to control the planes.
so, operator behind windows machine can issue a command to the drone using keyboard/joystick/mouse attached to that machine, yet virus residing in the same machine can't? How come? Does the drone recognize received commands as issued by virus vs. issued by operator ? By smell or a smily at the end or the word "Please" at the start of the command :)
Or perhaps they lured it to a known location, spotted it in the daytime with binoculars, intercepted it with an old-fashioned human pilot in a jet, who blasted it with turbulent jet exhaust until it went into an unrecoverable stall. Sure it's probably a long shot, but we don't know how many times they may have tried and it didn't work either.
Agreed, it's a simple application of Occam's razor.
The only possible scenario I see where they actually managed to take control of it is if they have good inside information. That's not impossible, of course, but then they wouldn't give it away like that.
China was able to gain full access to an American satellite (or at least blamed for it [http://informationweek.com/news/government/security/23190190... ]). I would bet that Russia has similar capabilities. Iran isn't working in isolation, and if either Russia or China decided to crack their knuckles in this situation, the likelihood of the craft being downed is higher than one might initially think.
I've got nothing to say about the encryption - that seems impossible to deal with.
You can (apparently) get a developer kit for STANAG 4586 for the low low price of € 9 900.00. Not like the diy drone stuff, this is a kit based on the NATO spec for participating on a UAV's control network. This is like 5 minutes and google. an organization with the resources of a nation behind it could probably get farther.
If you can jam the control signal long enough, does the plane go into some kind of failsafe mode where it tries to land? What happens if it runs out of fuel?
I'd say the most likely scenario is this: low-level engineer discovers the frequency the drone is on, jams it, it lands itself, then the (pleasantly surprised) engineer claims to his superior that he intercepted it and commanded it to land.
How are you going to fake the GPS map? It sounds pretty hard to do. Is there an actual attack?
I guess you could do it if you had actual atomic clocks sending precisely-calibrated signals made to look like the satellites were wherever you wanted them to be. Still, I guess it would be pretty hard to jam the actual satellites, since you'll also be jamming your own signal.
Well, if you ever tried to use a more powerful RF transmitter than your neighbor, you can overwhelm her signal, no need to "jam" with noise or mine for that matter.
I should have used a different word than jamming for the GPS map distortion, since it might imply that I was referring to sending random gibberish, so wikipedia to the rescue:
Now, knowing that DGPS (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DGPS) is pretty common, I don't see where's the difficulty on sending a fake signal in the GHz range, more powerful than the weak one coming from the km high satellites.
Considering that some(most?) drones send their return video in the clear, I wouldn't be surprised if the GPS systems end up being not properly engineered to handle this scenario.
Jamming the GPS signal is much different than spoofing 3+ GPS satellites. You can buy a 5 watt Russian GPS jammer for fairly cheap, but spoofing GPS, getting it all right is not available on anything publicly for sale. Pretend Iran could get that math right at the same time as jamming the plane (from above btw!!) to block the real GPS satellites. I'm sure one of the many http://lmgtfy.com/?q=gps+anti-jam defense contractors would happily sell the military something that might resolve that issue.
I don't believe this a drone, this is a drone mockup or its a drone we've not seen before.
First off the colors are wrong, the coating on an RQ170 is black/grey its not painted because painting it changes its radar reflection signature.
Second we don't see the bottom of the drone, if we did there would be either landing gear (if they managed to get it to actually land, or a scraped up bottom) According to Lockheed the drone lands when it runs out of gas and it does so with the landing gear retracted to avoid damage.
We don't see any armaments, where are the two hellfire missiles it keeps in its belly?
The shape of the motor nacelles is wrong. At least they aren't the same as every other photo of the RQ170.
Not sure what the game here is, but what this video shows is not an RQ170, of that I am certain.
Not sure why you are being downvoted, there are many worries about exactly this, compromise of components used in the US military, when imported from foreign countries.
* Intercept the control signal
* Decrypt it somehow (in a short period of time)
* Jam (from the ground) the US signal going to the plane, while not jamming themselves (equally unlikely)
* Give the proper C&C commands to the plane to land
Or the more likely scenario of the plane malfunctioned (it is a test plane being used in production) and landed itself.
My biggest concern would be if the self-destructs onboard fired as they were supposed to.