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Can you summarize it? I don't have the time for that.


There's a lot of information... Strong Towns wrote several articles and a book on this, then this youtube channel tried to summarize the important findings into a 7 part series.

The gist is this:

- US-style car-centric design has created cities filled with parking lots, wide roads, sprawling low-density development, and as a result also sprawling water/sewage infrastructure

- High-density downtown neighborhoods produce much more revenue per acre than low-density car-centric neighborhoods. The higher revenue is more than sufficient to fund yearly maintenance as well as pay off the replacement cost of infrastructure (whereas the low-density, low revenue areas can't fund the replacement cost so need to be subsidized by downtown)

- New neighborhoods enjoy their federally-subsidized new infrastructure as they don't need to concern themselves with replacement cost for decades.

- But when it comes time to replace the infrastructure, these low-density areas cannot fund the replacement (e.g. Backus, Minnesota has very low density and sprawling sewage infrastructure; replacement cost would be $27k per resident, which is greater than their average income). So they go into debt

- The piling debt is obviously unsustainable. e.g. Tampa, Florida needs $3.2bn to replace its water infrastructure. It already spends more money each year to service the debt it has borrowed for its water infrastructure than it spends on actually maintaining it.

- Some cities are lucky - they have a growing population so can kick the problem down the road by using new tax revenue from new developments (remember, yearly maintenance cost of new infrastructure is very low, so new developments are net tax positive as long as you pretend like you never have to replace the infrastructure). This is the growth ponzi scheme.

tl;dr Only high density downtown areas are able to simultaneously fund their infrastructure maintenance cost as well as the replacement cost over decades; lower density areas outside downtown depend on downtown's excess tax revenue to fund their replacement cost. But some cities just depend on ever-growing urban sprawl to use the new tax revenue to fund their growing debt and aging infrastructure

These are all high-level ideas and conclusions, which is why Strong Towns' publications are so important. They investigate tons of actual cities and towns across America and show you actual numbers.


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I just don't have the time to watch a 7 part series mini-docuseries to "inform" myself. I've lived all over the world (yes, Europe as well) and personally find American suburbia amazing for the reasons stated above.

Americans on HN think that there are no cars in Europe and everyone just bikes in beautiful small towns. Europe has 250 million passenger cars.


In short, theory is taxes from suburbia aren’t sufficient to pay for maintenance of their roads and utilities. Looks fine for a couple of decades after initial construction, but falls apart afterward. Place I grew up in looks just like this, once nice roads crumbling.


Interesting. Hasn't infrastructure become impossibly expensive in the west? We can't even build a small access road to a bridge without spending millions of dollars. Forget about subway, costs like $2B per mile.

May be we should question policies as well as why governments have become so hopelessly inefficient. Yet, we want to fund it with more taxes. No one seems to care and quantify inefficiencies of contemporary governments. Journalists aren't interested. Population is convinced that more taxes leads to better QoL which hasn't been the case lately.

Instead of saying that taxes aren't suffient to maintain roads and basic services, perhaps Governments have become too bloated to serve their populations and administration class malaise has settled in.


Not really. Those activities are externalised to the best bidder. Cost are high because private companies can't make it for less work _and_ because safety standards are quite high in the West (and even then you get some bridges collapsing and killing people here and there).

If you want it "cheap" then you need to apply second world standards and accept people getting regularly killed under crumbling infrastructure.

Yes, yes. I know about the money that is "lost" in bribes, etc. but that's not because the administrative state is inefficient but because politicians are greedy. In fact, one reason for externalising so much to private companies is to make it easier to get bribes or nice posts after finishing public office.


Cost-disease is probably a factor, however as cost also goes up very quickly with distance it is probably not the major one. n vs. n²




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