So there may be some spectacular aurora on the way, and apparently we're on track again for the next solar maximum.
Seems to be relatively inconsistent where we are, one moment we're heading for a mini ice age, the next moment we're on track with normal predictions again. Perhaps the reality is that we just don't really know enough to say that we understand solar activity to the point of making reliably accurate predictions about it yet.
" 'The magnetic storm that is soon to develop probably will be in the moderate to strong level,' said Joseph Kunches...'This will be a two or three out of five on the NOAA Space Weather Scale'"
I would call that weak to moderate by their own scale. It would be disappointing for a boy who cried wolf attitude to develop between official warnings and the public. I guess the 1859 storm is the 5 end of the spectrum.
The volcano experts have handled this aspect of their job quite well, even if many cities and towns have rejected evacuation recommendations.
Seems to be relatively inconsistent where we are, one moment we're heading for a mini ice age, the next moment we're on track with normal predictions again. Perhaps the reality is that we just don't really know enough to say that we understand solar activity to the point of making reliably accurate predictions about it yet.