I don't think that's true. Prions aren't bacteria or viruses that evolve and transmit. They're mostly just a misfolded protein that occurs spontaneously. (They can then be transmitted.)
I'm not sure there will ever be a prion that hasn't already existed, whereas I am sure there will be new viruses and bacteria.
I think the main difference is an imperfectly-replicated virus or bacteria might still be viable.
A prion only makes itself. Even if it replicated imperfectly, the odds of a slightly different misfolded protein becoming another prion are vanishingly small (otherwise we'd all be dead) because there probably just are very, very few configurations possible. The vast majority of misfolded proteins just do nothing.
There are several billion humans who are each replicating millions of copies of each of the 20,000 or so proteins during their lifetimes. It seems pretty unlikely that there are many misfolds that haven't occurred. It's just that only a handful become prions. And even if they do, prions are thankfully very hard to communicate (again, we'd all be dead if they weren't).
But in seriousness, I don't know much, but I believe that protein-folding is a hugely complicated problem that still lies at the edge of our understanding, therefore I conclude that we can't really conclude that the options for a replicating, harmful prion are basically harmless.
I mean...we don't even really know how common prions are, right? We only have noticed a handful because they have dramatically bad symptoms. A large number of replicating but harmless prions could exist (right?).
Obviously there's no reason to panic, but considered caution and study seems a better reaction than overconfident dismissal.
I don't know how many conformation changes could plausibly be caused by a prion or how many of them would be stable (and I'd imagine it depends heavily on the protein), but the number of possible conformations is incredibly large for any reasonably large protein.
Not exactly. Presumably almost all imperfect replications lead to dead ends (or we'd all be dead). Also, because they transmit poorly from host to host, even if one did evolve, which might be impossible, it'd probably die when it's host did.
Given that each human replicates each protein many millions of times over the course of their life, and that there have been several billion humans alive, if that were possible we'd probably have experienced it by now and again all be dead.
I'm not sure there will ever be a prion that hasn't already existed, whereas I am sure there will be new viruses and bacteria.