A quick Google search for average car age hints that it's nearly 12 years [0]. Even if everyone buying a new car bought an EV, we're probably 12 years away from 50% of the cars on the road being EVs. And since the age trend is actually increasing, we're probably looking at 13-15 years in actuality. And again, that assumes 100% of new vehicles purchased are EV, which definitely isn't the case.
This doesn't even begin to look at self-driving. We're still years away from reliable level 4 automation.
A quick Google search for average car age hints that it's nearly 12 years [0]. Even if everyone buying a new car bought an EV, we're probably 12 years away from 50% of the cars on the road being EVs. And since the age trend is actually increasing, we're probably looking at 13-15 years in actuality. And again, that assumes 100% of new vehicles purchased are EV, which definitely isn't the case.
This doesn't even begin to look at self-driving. We're still years away from reliable level 4 automation.
[0] https://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/28/car-owners-are-holding-their...