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> Let's play a game: pretend that all of these special agreements have suddenly become invalid and the market has become deregulated. Assume you have (or can acquire) the technical expertise to challenge them. What's your business plan?

My business plan is to be Google: Install duplicate infrastructure for 80% of what the incumbent paid (per your other post), using my massive cash reserves, and charge $0 for equivalent or better service. Revenue comes from my massive ad network (which my competitors don't have), so I can sustainably run the business like this for as long as necessary to force the incumbent to fold. I now have the local monopoly, which I can use as I see fit. I might (for example) give priority to packets originating from hosts who are also customers of my ad network.

This creates a virtuous cycle for me--advertizes will only want to spend money with me, so I can upgrade my infrastructure more rapidly that the former incumbent ever could. That brings me more internet-users, which makes my ad network more valuable. Since I have a monopoly, I can also rent-seek with respect to internet access fees (though I might keep it at $0 to encourage end-uses to continue clicking on ads).

I will then repeat this process in other cities until I have a nation-wide monopoly. Despite being in blatant violation of anti-trust laws, I will continue to do this by bribing^H contributing to the election campaigns of friendly politicians.

Of course, this is cheating a little (because my business plan replaces one natural monopoly with another)--but not a lot, because you asked for my business plan to break into the current natural monopoly, not how one could sustainably obtain a competitive market. The answer to the latter question is obvious: You can't.


Its not the volatility they're after--they want to hold a deflationary currency (which, at the moment, happens to be volatile).


Aqueous was speaking about BTC right now, in this growth period. But BTC is currently inflationary.


Good point - the early "hockey stick" did in fact end recently with the first ever bearish 10/21 EMA crossover in the BTC/USD 12h timeframe.


> To which I would like to ask: What's the point of a store of value if ultimately it cannot be exchanged for something else ?

It's very simple: Suppose you used Bitcoins only to facilitate transactions. You'd identify some good/service you want to purchase, buy the appropriate amount of Bitcoin on the open market. You then transfer them to the merchant who then sells the Bitcoin in his or her local currency. In order for that to work, the value of Bitcoin must be relatively stable over the timescale of the transaction. If ratio of Bitcoin to USD (for example) goes up a few percent over a period of ten minutes, then you're either giving the merchant a "tip" or he is giving you a discount. Either way, both you and he don't really know the cost of the good you are purchasing until sometime after the transaction.

More relevantly, if Bitcoin were to catch on, people would probably keep some assets in the form of Bitcoin so that they don't need to pay Bitcoint <-> USD transaction fees on every purchase. People will not do that if the value of a Bitcoin often changes radically between paychecks. Frankly, I can't see Bitcoin being used by "normal" people until the value is relatively stable (say, in most months the Bitcoin-USD exchange rate varies by less than 10% over the course of most 30-day periods) for this very reason. Unfortunately, the 21 million coin limit will prevent this from ever happening.

There seem to be a large number of people who operate under the misapprehension that "Inflation Bad -> Deflation Good." Inflation is bad, but deflation can be just as destructive to an economy, and having the ability to conduct transactions in a femtoSatoshi does nothing to fix that.


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