This isn't the whole story. There's a lot of "legal" self-dealing going on where insurance companies essentially own providers and then pay the providers which allows the insurance companies to circumvent the medical loss ratios.
What's interesting is that there are probably people who could spend a year happily working with an AI "coworker" without knowing it was an AI, but then get upset and change their viewpoint after learning the truth.
when a truth is revealed to someone operating under a totally different understanding of a situation, it can be confusing, disorienting and upsetting.
this seems reasonable to me, especially in this transition period where we're navigating ethical and respectful collaboration that involves AI. give people a little grace in this weird new world.
I kind of get it though -- I thought bill was just flat-out uncreative and a bad programmer, but now I've learned he's a clanker! It's a bridge too far.
"I don't need to care about privacy because I have nothing to hide" is trivially disproved:
Humans arrive at conclusions about other humans based on information. Sometimes these conclusions are incorrect because humans aren't perfect at reasoning and this happens more often with some kinds of information.
Therefore, it's perfectly rational to hide/not-disclose/obscure some information to lessen the chance that others take action based on faulty conclusions.
I wish we saw more invocations of speedy trial rights. Trials MUST begin for felony charges in ND within 90 days of a defendant invoking those rights (must be invoked within 14 days of arraignment)[0].
Defendants don't invoke that because in most states and federally, they build the case against you slowly over a long period of time before arrest, then stall as long as possible for discovery, then when they finally fulfill discovery they overwhelm you with a bunch of useless stuff so that it takes forever to get the useful information. Invoking right to speedy trial means the prosecution gets a very strong advantage to the defense.
I don't think it's a sensible interpretation of the constitution given the massive asymmetry of the situation. The state should be obligated without exception to either provide for a speedy trial or to release the defendant while the state figures its shit out. It should not be a right that can be waived. Meanwhile a defendant who's been arrested should generally be given as much time as he'd like to put together his defense.
Consider a contrived scenario where an opaque jar contains N distinguishable marbles. You take one out and note it's type and put it back in. You repeat this n times. If k out of n are unique it conveys information about N.
If, for example, k=1 then N is likely small. On the other hand if k=n then N is likely large.
The most computer-sciencey way is to look at n at which you get a repeat, ah! a hash collision.
One can make these ideas more quantitative under assumptions about the numbers of each types of marbles.
The math of hashing, birthday paradox, coupon collection and hyperloglog are good places to start.
Then there are other ways. Two of you count the number of typos in a tedious text. One says N the other says n and out of them only k are common. From this you can estimate the likely number of typos in the text.
Right. That makes sense in the contrived scenario (although in that contrived scenario we know the probabilities with absolute surety).
But TFA's estimate is perplexing because it is NOT a contrived scenario. We don't have marbles, we have some territory to cover. The territory isn't randomly distributed, we can't adequately randomly sample (presumably?).
It feels like the estimate could be wildly wildly off, in which case why estimate.
The contrived scenario is just a starting point. One can make more and more sophisticated ecological statistics models about the situation.
Regarding why estimate at all knowing they can be wrong ? Estimates are very useful for planning. Sophisticated models would also yield probabilities of over and underestimated, these combined with cost of over and underestimation errors are very useful for decision making.
See the German tank problem. Turns out the allied forces overestimated the number to f tanks left, still helped in planning.
It's probably something like, here are the environments where we've done comprehensive surveys, here are the kind of different situations where we expect to find different species (decomposers of various types, mycorrhizal, within plants, within animals, on surfaces, specialists, generalists, climates, etc). Multiply the species from places where we've probably found most of them by the number of places where we've only found the most obvious fungi. However it works it's going to have big error bars, reflected in the fact that 12M species is the upper end of a range starting at 2.2M.
Basically, you bulk sequence some sample like some soil, and from there you can call certain taxa and make estimates of unique species or unidentified sequences.
We have better DNA sequencing technology today, so we can detect how many species living in sample (soil/water/...) and guess something. But if someone want to "descripting" these fungi, they should plant the fungus species in lab and detect its feartures; this is more expensive, harder and usually impossible.
Also, how would they really know if a species is endangered? With millions of species that haven't even been identified, how would they know how common any of them are?
There are thousands of different species of many branches of the taxonomy tree (insects, molds, bacteria, etc.) and like fungi, each have tons of species not even identified.
Scientists estimate that something like 99% of species that ever existed, are extinct. I understand why people get upset when something like elephants hit the endangered list, but should we really care if some obscure species of dung beetle is endangered?
For now, our science is not yet so advanced as to be able to appreciate what we will lose if an obscure species of dung beetle disappears.
Species of beetle or of fungi or of any other kind of living beings may look very similar, but nonetheless they may differ in their ability to synthesize various chemical compounds by using various enzymes that may not have equivalents in other living beings.
The popular literature is full of triumphalist b*s*t which makes it appear that most basic sciences, like physics, chemistry and biology are solved, but this is extremely far from the truth. We are still a few decades away from being able to understand well enough how a living being works, so that we would be able to replicate similar processes for making whatever we want.
Until then, every kind of living being which disappears is an irreversible loss of precious information, which may have saved an unpredictable amount of time in the future, which will be needed to rediscover similar results with those produced by natural evolution during millions of years.
There are ATMs not attached to bank branches. They could have replaced the branches with ATMs before. (I do wonder what bank tellers are doing these days. I mean actual tellers, not investment advisors and jobs like that.)
Had go to go a branch a couple times in the last year at a local credit union. Largely seems like tellers are getting busy work. There are not a lot of tellers present, and they appear to be doing other things on their workstation. So they get up to go to the teller window and help me out with my request, which usually involves them playing around with some archaic bank app on the teller machine and fiddling with the copier for a bit. A supervisor is always around who knows more of the business use cases and always seems to get involved either out of boredom or because they're the only ones who know how to do something.
They are handling in-person transactions, usually deposits (many who deposit checks manually still don't know how to use the app to do so, or if the branch has an ATM that does deposits).
They are the only way to get non-20 cash in many areas; the ATMs that can dispense other bills are quite rare. And if you want $100 in ones you're going inside.
They're basically bank receptionists for old people who will type details into the same system that the general public has access to. They also handle cash for small businesses (I worked in a cafe during university and we'd regularly have to do runs into town to deposit rolls of bills and get more change to float the till)
If that's all you think tellers are then you're missing out on a lot of opportunities.
They are the first line of human-to-human contact with customers. They are able to sell new services or upsell existing services to customers, especially with the customer's data right in front of them. A new pleasant conversation plus "Oh by the way, did you know that you could get service ABC that would help you?" is something that an LLM or ATM can't do reliably.
There's a tremendous amount of opportunity available with well-trained tellers.
You also need to see tellers these days to do large withdrawals (think cashier's checks) and, ironically, resolving account lockouts due to fraud. The big banks also have relationship banking if you have enough money held by them, which I understand can be very useful in certain situations.
I still need to talk to a real bank teller before withdrawing $10,000 in cash. Above a certain amount my bank requires an ID in addition to a debit card and a PIN.
> ...We show that the conflicting recommendations in Newcomb’s
scenario use different Bayes nets to relate your choice and the algorithm’s prediction. These two Bayes nets are incompatible. This resolves the paradox: the reason there appears to be two conflicting recommendations is that the specification of the underlying Bayes net is open to two, conflicting interpretations...
More here:
https://healthcareuncovered.substack.com/p/self-dealing-ille...
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