HN2new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit | AvAn12's commentslogin

Clearly YMMV but I have been very happy with DDG since switching over a couple of years ago. Maybe we are searching in different domains. From my experience, no ads and less ai slop, and fine search quality.

The shilling for AI continues. How much $$$ do the big tech companies pay Columbia? Oh yeah, and what exactly did Columbia agree to do to get the trmp admin to leave them alone? All speculation of course, but the circumstantial picture stinks.

A wise move.

And if we all buy umbrellas, then it will start to rain??

The metaphor for the original post was more like "You're already wearing a raincoat and umbrella, and you're forecasting a flood warning?" So, the flood warning (project revenue) may be completely incorrect, but it's not incongruous with the fact that I'm wearing a raincoat and umbrella (current investor valuation). :-)

I mean, if you go outside and everyone else is carrying an umbrella, it's probably going to rain.

Or the town has been hoodwinked by a smooth talking umbrella salesman.

Again!?!!

Mono! Doh!

If you go outside and they are burning witches, it's best to go along with it.

This greatly overestimates the rationality of markets.

perhaps tis not the rain but the sun they fear.

That would be compatible with them carrying umbrellas; https://www.etymonline.com/word/umbrella

Stray from the light long enough and they'll start calling blindness "market strategy"

If you go outside and see people buying tulips, it doesn't mean that tulips are great investments.

Another example is how Isaac Newton lost money on some other bubble as well: https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/market-crash-cost-... [ The market crash which cost newton fortune]

So even if NEWTON, the legendary ISAAC NEWTON could lose money in bubble and was left holding umbrellas when there was no rain.

From the book Intelligent investor, I want to get a quote so here it goes (opened the book from my shelf, the page number is 13)

The great physicist muttered that he "could calculate the motions of the heavenly bodies, but not hte madness of the people"

This quote seems soo applicable in today's world, I am gonna create a parent comment about it as well.

Also, For the rest of Newton's life, he forbade anyone to speak the words "South Sea" in his pressence.

Newton lost more than $3 Million in today's money because of the south sea company bubble.


> So even if NEWTON, the legendary ISAAC NEWTON could lose money in bubble and was left holding umbrellas when there was no rain.

The moral of that story is that being a legend or smart doesn’t count for much in investing.


People often use that example, but Newton, for all he was unquestionably a giant of physics, was a bit of a weird dude and not 100% rationalist[1]. Additionally, just because he was a great physicist doesn't mean he knew anything at all about investment. You can be an expert in one field and pretty dumb in others. Linus Pauling (a giant in chemistry) had beliefs in terms of medicine that were basically pseudoscience.

Intelligent investor is a great book though.

[1] eg he wrote more than a million words on alchemy during his lifetime https://webapp1.dlib.indiana.edu/newton/project/about.do


> ...was a bit of a weird dude and not 100% rationalist...

That covers everyone. Especially and including the rationalists. Part of being highly intelligent is being a bit weird because the habits and beliefs of ordinary people are those you'd expect of people with ordinary intelligence.

Anyone involved in small-time investing should be considering that they aren't rational when setting their strategy. Larger investment houses do what they can but even then every so often will suffer from group-think episodes.


> Newton, for all he was unquestionably a giant of physics, was a bit of a weird dude and not 100% rationalist

The norms of "rational" science hadn't really been established yet. There wasn't really a clear line drawn between alchemy and what we would consider chemistry today.


That is what I used to think, but if you dig a little deeper I'm not sure it's quite that simple. If you read the link I posted, all that work on alchemy was not printed after his death because people examined it and deemed it "not fit to print". So it definitely seems that even at the time, there may not have been a clear line, but people felt that his alchemical writings were on the wrong side of whatever line might in future be drawn.

Newton was also definitely in favour of an empirical/axiomatic basis for science in general. If you read principia he proves almost everything[1] and of course he famously deformed his own eyeballs with wooden gadgets to do his experiments in optics.

[1] In fact pretty much the one thing he doesn't prove is the calculus, which Alex Kontorovich once said in a lecture on youtube that he has a pet theory that the reason that Newton never published the calculus was not the one everyone says about his rivalry with Hooke etc but that he wanted a rigorous proof first (which of course didn't come about until much later with Cauchy, Weierstrass, Dedekind etc for normal calculus and the 1960s for non-standard analysis to prove Newton's fluxions rigorously).


Newton knew a lot about investing for the time. He was a master of the mint for much of his adult life.

As I understand it, Master of the mint was more about knowing enough metallurgy to not be ripped off by people using weak alloys to smelt coins. It wasn’t like a modern central banker or anything like that.

Hint: its a classic LLM misunderstanding; theyre protecting from sunshine. Theyre parasols.

Fourth Amendment to the United States Constitution: > The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.

Ice can say what they want. The Constitution is the ultimate law of the land here.

Oh yeah, and facial recognition does not work to anything like this degree of accuracy, and probably never can. Nice try.


A constitution is a worthless piece of paper if it is not enforced. I'm about 50/50 right now if the midterms can safe the U.S., so far it doesn't look good.


To be more specific, ICE will be scanning the lines to vote, and pulling people out. In some states, poll watchers will be there to say, “no, you don’t have to go with them”. In other states, poll watchers will also be scanning.


[flagged]


Never trust anything with a 3 letter acronym.


Gaming this out theoretically and actually being seized and put into a detention facility where you're not allowed to call anyone including a lawyer are two different things.


It's not just gaming it out theoretically! It's important to keep in mind that it's not just a policy dispute - everyone involved in this is violating the law, and when constitutional government is restored they can and should go to prison for it. (If you find yourself working for ICE, even indirectly, I'd encourage you to keep that in mind!)


> when constitutional government is restored they can and should go to prison for it.

I completely agree but fear the democrats will be too spineless to do anything like this. A radical change in the democrat party is needed - they should be promising to pack the supreme court and prosecute 3/4s of this administrations officials, at a minimum.


IMO there is a profound degree of anger within the Demoratic party (as evidenced by their approval ratings). I will absolutely vote for the candidate who vows to viciously pursue every single person who broke any law during this entire ordeal. I'm a single issue voter, that's my issue, and I doubt I'm alone.


Why only democrats? Why should American citizens who identify with the Republican Party tolerate destruction of constitutional order? If the constitution goes, it won’t matter what party you prefer - everyone is at risk.


The modern Republican Party stands for the destruction of the constitutional order. Liz Cheney was publicly purged for not being willing to go along with it. As a number of Bush-era constitutional conservatives have realized, an American citizen who won’t tolerate the destruction of the constitutional order cannot identify with the Republican Party.


Just like Wernher von Braun and all the other Nazis and Nazi-adjacent people went to prison after WWII, you mean?


Not a single person associated with Trump reaches the “value” of von Braun and his fellow scientists.


> The Constitution is the ultimate law of the land here.

The light turns green.

You go blindly.

Get maimed in an accident.

"But the light was green!"


The only reason we have come this far is because we have a system of laws that rests on constitutional order. And policy, cultural, and commercial norms of respecting and preserving that order. We did not get here blindly - though we can lose it if people blindly forget that we are part of a bigger society.


Trump Claims He Can Overrule Constitution With Executive Order Because Of Little-Known ‘No One Will Stop Me’ Loophole

https://theonion.com/trump-claims-he-can-overrule-constituti...


> Ice can say what they want. The Constitution is the ultimate law of the land here.

You roll a persuasion check: it's a 1 - it failed. Your argument of "you can't do this, the Constitution says nu-uh" failed.

"Fuck the constitution", the masked ICE officer yells at you. "civil rights are for real American citizens, not for your kind." He spits in your face.

The two masked goons holding you start to drag you towards their unmarked van. You struggle a bit. The officer stashes away his Scanning Smartphone and puts his hand on his sidearm.

What is your next move?


You make a good argument that nobody needs to follow any laws any more. By your argument, it’s all about brute force. Ice has it now, but anyone can later. Is that the world you want? Or, would you prefer a society of laws after all?


The supreme court interprets the laws, including the constitution, and they've decided that being brown is sufficient reasonability.


Nope they didn't decide that. It's actually even worse!

A lot of Americans have the impression that SCOTUS keeps deciding in the administration's favor, but this is not true.

SCOTUS is saying: "We're not going to hear this case right now, but we likely will in the future. In the meantime, we are going to overturn the lower court who did actually hear the case and allow the administration to continue its actions. No, we will not explain we think the lower court got wrong."

Increasingly these SCOTUS orders totally unexplained which is a blatant violation of their judicial obligations, and they are frequently unsigned by the majority (conservative) Justices. Presumably because they don't want their names written on papers that they know will be understood by future generations to be totally indefensible.

SCOTUS has proven itself functionally incapable of fulfilling its Constitutional duties and has proven that we need a lot more Justices. If you don't have the time to hear the cases we need you to hear, then the court needs to be scaled up and we can pick random panels to hear different cases.

Nothing to do with policy disagreements (how would any American even know if they had a policy disagreement with an unexplained, unsigned SCOTUS order?) – we just need courts that can decide on things that are important to our country.


Frankly it's a miracle it took this long to be a problem IMO.

The supreme court over the years has watered down constitutional protections against government enforcement upon individuals massively because doing so was necessary to empower the government to enforce speeding tickets, financial regulation, environmental regulation, chase bootleggers, etc, etc, with it's power only constrained in practice by political optics.

So now here we are, in a situation where the government is doing what it always does, levying what's essentially a criminal punishment (incarceration in this case, typically fines historically) in a case where allegedly no crime has been committed, and then give the accused only kangaroo court administrative process because it's not a crime, but now it's doing it at scale, flagrantly, loudly and against the political will of some of the locations it's doing it in.

There are a lot of bricks in this road to hell and someone somewhere was issuing a warning as each one was laid. Should have listened.


What are you talking about?

This was a problem in 2012 and SCOTUS ruled unambiguously in Arizona vs United States that we cannot stop people based solely on their outward "apparent" immigration status. In SCOTUS's own words, "the usual predicate for an arrest is absent" and being merely "suspected of being removable... does not authorize an arrest."

"As a general rule, it is not a crime for a removable alien to remain present in the United States. See INS v. Lopez-Mendoza, 468 U.S. 1032, 1038 (1984). If the police stop someone based on nothing more than possible removability, the usual predicate for an arrest is absent. When an alien is suspected of being removable, a federal official issues an administrative document called a Notice to Appear. See 8 U. S. C. §1229(a); 8 CFR §239.1(a) (2012).

The form does not authorize an arrest."

This is a MAGA and Heritage Foundation-driven reversal of VERY recently settled law. Absolutely not business as usual.

https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/567/387/#tab-opi...


I'm not even debating the legality of the stop. It doesn't matter. Whether or not the stop is legit the whole system from there on is a kangaroo court rife with rights violations as well. That's the real problem here. Hair splitting over the specific reason for a stop is a distraction. Even if you fix it it won't change much. Whether or not they can make the stop doesn't really matter. They'll find other ways to force people to produce their papers.


It literally changes whether brown-ish Americans can go about their day without being thrown on the ground in zipties or not.

> They'll find other ways to force people to produce their papers

Okay, so make them find other, increasingly illegal ways so they can be held accountable at a future date. Not quasi-blessed by SCOTUS's delay tactics.


Tell that to all the black new yorkers who had their guns and/or weed stolen by the government during the stop and frisk era.

Having the ability to stop people isn't worth much if you don't have the unaccountable bureaucracy that can unilaterally doll out whatever punishment it wants.

The usefulness of these sort of fishing exercises regardless of what kind of violation is being gone after is wholly predicated on the upstream system denying these people their rights. If enforcement bureaucracies had to give everyone subject to "serious punishment" (whatever we agree that is, incarceration likely fits it) real rights, follow real protocols involving warrants, evidince, etc, etc. and potentially drag them in front of a jury then you wouldn't have any of this.

And it's not just limited to ICE. Pretty much every other law (and I don't just mean criminal, civil too) enforcement excess evaporates overnight if people get full protection afforded by their rights after law enforcement interacts with them.

Now, you could argue that we should instead impose the constraints on law enforcement contact and then all these unaccountable systems that violate people's rights will be fine because the enforcers won't be shoving innocent people into them, but looking at the last ~50yr of executive branch (not just feds, states very much too) history, that's basically what we've done and it clearly hasn't worked.

This isn't a brown people problem. This is a bigger fundamental problem with how we've architected law (once again, not just criminal) enforcement in this country. The brown people are just the newsworthy implementation at this particular minute.


You mean the policy that was aggressively fought by the very same people fighting this policy? Who exactly do you think you're arguing against here?

Are you looking for a "good job potato3732842 for being mad about Stop and Frisk previously," and unless you get that you're going to hem and haw about how awful a nationwide expansion of a far more aggressive variant with far worse consequences at orders of magnitude larger scale of a similar policy is?

> enforcement excess evaporates overnight if people get full protection afforded by their rights after law enforcement interacts with them.

Yeah, duh. That's why people are here advocating for people to retain their rights and for law enforcement to be held accountable.

If your argument is that the current policy is just another point on the same continuum as many others: yes, obviously that's true.

If your argument is that this means it's somehow equivalent to other points on the same continuum: no, obviously it's not.

If your argument is instead that this is a different point on the same continuum, but because people weren't upset about Point A they have no justification to be upset (or even more upset) about Point B: that's ridiculous.


Monarchy doesn’t need a constitution.


Manga Carta - king governs by the consent of the governed. King != tyrant or dictator.


IDK if you missed the last 10 months but the constitution is dead and buried.


It is neither dead nor burned.


like Elon declaring FSD?


with extra stoopid


aren't programming languages like SQL designed to strike a quasi-optimal balance between precision and economy? that is to say, if I want to use plain English to specify some kind of data operations, the prompt will necessarily be more verbose and/or less specific than SQL statements. So why not just learn SQL properly? And then learn the domain-specific considerations of the source data as well as the domain-specific business requirements? Or am I missing something essential?


For all it's flaws, I certainly prefer SQL to something like XQuery.


Yes you are. I can show you 15 line SQL queries you would be hard pressed to understand, let alone built with precision as a novice

And you want everyone to learn this? People who don’t even have time or ability to master excel?

Really?


It's hard because relational algebra is hard. It's hard because it's easy to write a query that returns arbitrary data, but it's hard to write a query that returns only the correct data that you really want.

The problem is that, IMX, AI is just as shit at that as most humans are. AI can find and connect primary keys and columns with the same name. It doesn't understand cardinality of entities or how to look for data that breaks the data model of the application (which is a critical element of data validation).

None of the actual hard parts of writing SQL go away with AI.


+1 for the Lead Hypothesis. Apart from negative health effects, lead exposure leads to more impulsive behavior and reduced inhibition - which kind of covers nearly everything here.

Have to say, I am glad that the world is safer and less wild, but I do miss the creative energy and "real world" social engagement of 1980s-1990s


and in the 80s and 90s, we missed the creative energy and "real world" social engagement of the 60s and 70s ...

plus ca change, plus le meme chose ...


That generation were a bunch of mindless, selfish dicks. Free from poisoning, the new generations can think clearly about how to be selfish dicks, and plan it out more deliberately.


Generalizations about generations are pretty silly. Every generation, baby boom, X, Z, millennial, etc. has a pretty heterogeneous mix of mindless, selfish dicks, geniuses, morons, artists, business people, wizards, creeps, and normies.


Similar to YAML? Also do consider ancient formats like fixed width - in which case you don’t even need delimiter characters. Are LLMs clever enough to parse these if given a code book or old-school INPUT statement? Cheers


Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: