Any fact to back that up? Any economical analysis? I fail to see how it answers the question so I downvoted (bad me)
Taking a similar example, in 2010 it was unlikely Stuxnet was government made - people talked about the black market and high school students from Panama http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stuxnet#History
Yet now, it seems to be.
I share part of your opinion, as in "unlikely to be from a government" but I would NOT jump to conclusions and exclude this possibility.
I've spent more time on ID'ing the character(s) known as 'Satoshi' than is good for me and think I have a fair idea who they are, but it isn't bullet-proof. Even if I had it I would not publish their names here. HN'ers are smart enough to do their own work without having it done for them, and clearly those people prefer to be anonymous, so if you do figure it out better keep it to yourself.
The section on Satoshi's identity found in the Wikipedia article [1] for Bitcoin seems rather persuasive:
Investigations into the real identity of Satoshi Nakamoto have been attempted by The New Yorker and Fast Company. Fast Company's investigation brought up circumstantial evidence that indicated a link between an encryption patent application filed by Neal King, Vladimir Oksman and Charles Bry on 15 August 2008, and the bitcoin.org domain name which was registered 72 hours later. The patent application (#20100042841) contained networking and encryption technologies similar to bitcoin's. After textual analysis, the phrase "...computationally impractical to reverse" was found in both the patent application and bitcoin's whitepaper. All three inventors explicitly denied being Satoshi Nakamoto.
Did any, or all three, of those individuals all of a sudden become wealthy over the past couple years? I imagine whoever created BTC is a multi-millionaire now due to having all the initial mined coins.
This is actually one of the strangest things about it tbh. How can there be over 1 million unsold early adopter bitcoins? They can't all be lost and the people who held on to them through the $250 peak have some serious self-restraint
Why is this strange?
The early clients did mining by default in the background, and per-block difficulty was very slow.
It does not take very many people playing with it for a few weeks and throwing away wallets to get to 1 million lost bitcoins
I read on bitcointalk.org (so take with a grain of salt) that a new wallet was used for the initial blocks, so there are 50 coins in each of ~40k wallets.
It's entirely possible that early on they used throw away wallets while testing and the alleged $100m in "early coins" are all inaccessible.
Taking a similar example, in 2010 it was unlikely Stuxnet was government made - people talked about the black market and high school students from Panama http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stuxnet#History
Yet now, it seems to be.
I share part of your opinion, as in "unlikely to be from a government" but I would NOT jump to conclusions and exclude this possibility.